

His yards before contact per rushing attempt is 2.1, which is marginally below last season but ahead of 20. Still, Mixon has struggled in his own right. All of this would point towards the offensive line being the issue for Mixon. He’s also tied for fifth-worst in terms of power success rate at 50%. Additionally, Football Outsiders’ offensive line stats had the Bengals as the fourth-worst unit in terms of adjusted line yards (3.55) and stuffed rate (25%). He runs 5.49 yards for every rushing yard achieved in the box score.

Mixon’s efficiency is also the worst in the NFL. Additionally, Mixon is outperforming his expected rushing yards on just 28.2% of rushing attempts, also the sixth-lowest number this season. On a per-carry basis, Mixon is averaging -0.78 rushing yards under expectation per attempt, the sixth-lowest in the league. Next Gen Stats expected rushing yards currently have Mixon 61 yards under expectation, the lowest number in the league. When you look at the advanced numbers, Mixon is really struggling. Given his ADP this season was a first-round pick, Mixon is significantly underperforming expectations. Mixon is also averaging just 10 fantasy points per game in non-PPR this season, placing him 17th at the position on a per-game basis.

He’s averaging just 2.7 yards per rushing attempt this season. Edmonds will continue to mix in at the goal line, which will limit Mostert’s upside.Īnother running back whose value is curious is Joe Mixon. Therefore, any offer to acquire Mostert this week should be limited. He’s already over 30% of the way to that total. The addition of carries inside the 5-yard line this week is a promising sign.īefore you make an offer for Mostert, it’s key to make note that his career high in touches for a single season is 151. Yet, in that timeframe, he’s averaging just 5.7 fantasy points per game in non-PPR scoring, which places him 40th at the position on a per-game basis. In the last three weeks, he’s averaging 14 opportunities per game, 34 rushing attempts, and eight targets. However, unless you can get a player that can contribute right now, Edmonds is someone to hold as he very easily could be the lead back in the event Mostert gets hurt.Ĭoming out of this game, Mostert could be viewed as somewhat of a buy low. If someone in your league believes that Edmonds can continue to average 10+ fantasy points per game in a limited role, then you should look to sell high. Yes, he still led the opportunities five to three, but Mostert also seeing opportunities down near the goal line changes Edmonds’ outlook. This shift to Mostert also seeing rushing attempts inside the 5 is a concern for Edmonds. The counterpoint is that Edmonds had three targets inside the red zone, including two inside the 10. While Edmonds came into Week 4 with the only two carries inside the 5-yard line, Mostert had both rushing opportunities down near the goal line this week. Moreover, there was a concerning trend in this week’s game. He’s averaging more than a fantasy point per opportunity, which is not sustainable. Edmonds’ fantasy-point return through the last three weeks is 26.8. However, in the last three weeks, he has just 16 rushing attempts and seven targets, with Raheem Mostert having 34 rushing attempts and eight targets in the same time period.Īdditionally, according to Next Gen Stats, Edmonds is averaging more than two yards below expectation per rushing attempt, by far the worst number in the league. Edmonds has now scored three touchdowns in two games, averaging over 10 points per game for fantasy managers in those two weeks. The RB situation in Miami is really tough to value coming out of Week 4. Week 4 trade analyzer | Player values from Thursday Night Football
